The UK could experience its hottest temperatures of the year so far, with weather models suggesting parts of England may reach 38C before the end of July.
Weather Forecast Models Point to Another Extreme Heat Spell
The current UK temperature record for 2026 stands at 37.7C, but forecasts from the Global Forecast System (GFS) model suggest this could be exceeded. The model predicts temperatures rising again from July 27, with highs of around 33C in western England and 32C across many southern areas.
Temperatures could climb further on July 28, reaching around 35C in southern and western England. The Midlands and eastern regions could see highs of 34C, while northern areas may reach around 31C.
July 29 Could Become the Hottest Day of the Year
According to the GFS model, July 29 could bring the highest temperatures of the current summer. Forecast data suggests large areas of western, central and eastern England could reach 38C, with temperatures of around 37C possible from southern England towards Yorkshire.
Weather maps showing temperature differences from seasonal averages indicate that England and Wales could experience conditions well above normal for the time of year. The forecast model suggests that around 15 counties could reach 38C, including Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Cambridgeshire, Warwickshire, Oxfordshire, Buckinghamshire and Berkshire.
Met Office Says Longer-Term Forecast Remains Uncertain
The Met Office has said it is too early to confirm whether hot conditions will continue beyond the next 10 days and into the end of July. Its forecast for July 22 to July 31 suggests temperatures could remain above average, although the duration and intensity of any heatwave remain uncertain.
Current forecasts can change as new weather data becomes available.
Northern England Expected to See Milder Conditions
While southern and central parts of England could experience the highest temperatures, conditions are expected to remain less extreme in some northern regions. In the North West, forecasts indicate a mix of sunshine and cloud, with temperatures around 22C during the week.
The region is expected to stay mostly dry, with sunny spells and some possible showers later in the week. Meteorologists will continue monitoring the situation as updated forecasts provide a clearer picture of whether the UK is heading towards a new temperature record.
