Issued annually, the Almanac’s forecast draws on over two centuries of tradition, using a blend of solar activity, historical weather patterns, and meteorological data. With a reported accuracy rate of 80%, its long-range predictions are closely followed by farmers, travellers, and outdoor enthusiasts preparing for the colder months.
A Long-Standing Tool in Seasonal Planning
Published since 1792, The Old Farmer’s Almanac remains one of the oldest continuously published periodicals in North America. It has gained a reputation for its distinctive blend of scientific forecasting and historical pattern analysis, attracting both skeptics and loyal followers alike.
According to the Almanac’s latest outlook, most of the US, including New England, the Midwest, and the Pacific Northwest, should expect warmer and drier conditions than usual this winter. The forecast suggests lower-than-average snowfall totals, a welcome development for some after last year’s more erratic patterns.
Despite its nationwide focus, the Almanac divides its forecasts into detailed regional zones, offering a tailored view of local weather expectations. These predictions are particularly valued by rural communities, where agricultural planning and transport logistics often rely on early seasonal insights.
The 2025-2026 edition’s early release comes as parts of the country continue to deal with the long-term impacts of summer heatwaves, making questions about winter precipitation and temperatures more pressing for households and businesses alike.
Regional Variations Highlight Shifting Patterns
While the overall outlook leans towards a moderate winter, the forecast identifies several regions where conditions may vary sharply from the national norm.
In the Appalachians (Region 3), which stretch from western New York to western North Carolina, temperatures are expected to dip below seasonal averages. Interestingly, snowfall is expected to be split across the range, with northern areas receiving less snow, while southern sections could see higher accumulations than usual.
The Southeast (Region 4), including much of the Carolinas and Georgia, is forecast to experience a colder season, punctuated by unexpected snow events, particularly in mid-December and late January. In Florida (Region 5), conditions could be unusually wet, with early tropical activity leading into a cooler-than-average winter.
In the Ohio Valley (Region 7), covering Kentucky, West Virginia, and southern parts of Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio, the Almanac notes a particularly cold season. While snowfall is projected to remain average, West Virginia may receive notably more snow compared to recent winters.
The Intermountain Region (Region 13), encompassing eastern Washington to northern Arizona, is set to experience a mild winter overall, but with above-average snowfall in southern parts, especially in late January and early February. Snowfall may return again in late March.
Meanwhile, the Desert Southwest (Region 14), including southern California, Arizona, and western Texas, is likely to encounter a warmer winter. Mountainous areas could see early snowfalls in December and January, while lower elevations are expected to face rain rather than snow.
With its unique blend of folk wisdom and climatological methods, the Old Farmer’s Almanac remains a touchstone for early weather guidance. While not a substitute for real-time forecasts, it continues to offer a broad seasonal outlook that helps individuals and communities make early preparations for the months ahead.
