U.S. Stocks Dip, Treasury Yields Surge Following Fed Official’s Remarks on Slower Rate Cuts

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By Lydia Amazouz Published on January 17, 2024 15:10
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller

In the wake of Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller's latest remarks, U.S. financial markets are responding with notable shifts in stocks and bond yields. Investors and analysts alike are closely monitoring these movements, as they recalibrate expectations for the future of monetary policy and its impact on the economy.

U.S. Stocks Slide as Fed Signals Cautious Rate Cuts

On Tuesday, U.S. stocks fell as investors adjusted their expectations for immediate interest rate cuts following remarks from a Federal Reserve official.

Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated that the central bank's pace in reducing rates might be slower than market expectations, leading ten-year Treasury yields to return to the 4% mark.

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He indicated that the rate cuts should be addressed rather in a methodical and careful manner. "When the time is right to begin lowering rates, I believe it can and should be lowered methodically and carefully," he declared in a talk at the Brookings Institution.

This sentiment was reflected as the ten-year Treasury yield experienced a significant leap, rising by 10 basis points to reach 4.058% on Tuesday.

The official's comments were followed by similar cautious reactions from other central bankers as administrators spoke at the World Economic Forum situated in Davos, Switzerland. In response, market expectations for a March rate cut have moderated, with futures now indicating a 65% probability.

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Further insights into Federal Reserve policy may emerge by Wednesday, alongside retail trade data, which will shed light on the ongoing strength of consumer spending.

Amid single stocks, strong bank incomes elevated Goldman Sachs, while Boeing remained tumbling since its 737 MAX grounding, and Apple's share price tumbled following the Supreme Court's rule against it at app store policy.

Tuesday's Closing Figures: A Snapshot of Key U.S. Indexes

At the close of trading at 4:00 p.m. on Tuesday, major American indexes stood as follows:

  • S&P 500: 4,765.98, down 0.37%
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: 37,361.12, down 0.62% (-231.86 points)
  • Nasdaq Composite: 14,944.35, down 0.19%
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Other Market Updates:

  • Boeing's market value has seen a $28 billion decrease following the 737 MAX's panel blowout incident.
  • Analysis by NDR suggests current stock trends are increasingly mirroring the 2020 bull market.
  • Zillow reports a growing trend of homeowners less deterred by mortgage rates, potentially signaling an increase in property listings.
  • Experts warn against expecting a series of rate cuts leading to an easy economic soft landing.
  • Bernstein analysts do not anticipate a 'tsunami of defaults' as corporations have extended debt maturities.

In commodities and cryptocurrencies:

  • Petroleum prices declined, with West Texas Intermediate dropping 1.2% to $71.80 per barrel, and Brent Crude falling 0.55% to $78.12 per barrel.
  • Gold prices decreased by approximately 1% to $2,031 per ounce.
  • The ten-year Treasury yield saw a surge of 10 basis points to 4.058%.
  • Bitcoin's value increased by 1.77%, reaching $43,141.
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