{"id":125735,"date":"2026-09-20T12:45:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-20T11:45:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/uk\/?p=125735"},"modified":"2026-09-20T11:37:33","modified_gmt":"2026-09-20T10:37:33","slug":"energy-prices-could-jump-25-in-january","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/uk\/energy-prices-could-jump-25-in-january\/","title":{"rendered":"Energy Prices Could Jump 25% in January, Pushing Typical Bills Above \u00a32,100"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The forecast follows an already confirmed rise in household costs from October. Ofgem\u2019s price cap is set to increase by 4%, taking the typical dual-fuel bill from \u00a31,663 to \u00a31,723 a year, after a 13% rise in July. The January outlook would therefore add another increase for households entering the winter period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Wholesale Gas Prices Are Driving the January Forecast<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The expected January rise is linked to higher wholesale energy prices, particularly gas. According to Bloomberg Economics, European energy prices have increased since the war in Iran began in late February, disrupting oil and gas supplies from the Persian Gulf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UK month-ahead gas futures have risen by 150% since the conflict began, while the equivalent electricity contract<\/strong> has more than doubled. British gas prices have reached 203.28p per therm, their highest level since late 2022, according to reports cited by The Sun<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Martin Lewis also warned that the outlook for domestic energy bills had deteriorated as gas costs increased. Writing on X, he said the situation for UK household bills \u201creally isn\u2019t looking good\u201d and noted that higher wholesale prices would feed into the January price cap.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Andrew Goodwin<\/a>, chief UK economist at Oxford Economics, said the rise in wholesale gas prices had more than offset the saving from the removal of VAT from electricity bills between October and March. Oxford Economics estimated that the January price cap could rise by another 13%,<\/strong> based on wholesale prices during the relevant observation period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Neil Kenward<\/a>, Ofgem\u2019s director general for markets, said high international gas prices were continuing to drive energy costs in the UK. He also said customers could find fixed tariffs priced \u00a3100 or more below the October price cap, while some suppliers offer cheaper off-peak electricity rates to smart-meter customers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\ud83d\udea8 BREAKING NEWS \ud83d\udea8

Your energy bills are predicted to surge by 25% by January – that's an extra \u00a3427 a year for the average household.

Reform UK will scrap net zero and slash your energy bills by \u00a3250 in our first 100 days of government.
https:\/\/t.co\/p2TcXFck5y<\/a><\/p>— Reform UK (@reformparty_uk) September 15, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote>