Britain is set for an unseasonably warm spell, with temperatures forecast to rise by as much as 20°C in some areas, according to meteorological models. On March 8, parts of the UK could be warmer than Madrid, which is expected to reach just 14°C with possible rain.
The coming days will mark a sharp contrast from recent sub-zero temperatures, particularly in Scotland and eastern England. While March typically brings average highs of around 9°C, projections suggest that southern and central England could experience daytime temperatures reaching 16°C.
Warmer-Than-Average Conditions Expected Across England and Walest
The latest Global Forecast System (GFS) weather models indicate a period of dry and settled conditions, particularly in the south and east of the UK. On March 6, widespread highs of 13°C are expected, while temperatures could reach between 12°C and 15°C across England and Wales on March 7.
By March 8, southern and eastern regions may see the mercury rise to 16°C, surpassing the forecast for Madrid. According to the Met Office, high pressure is expected to dominate in early March, leading to generally fine weather in the south.
“High pressure is likely to have more influence across the south of the UK, at least at first. Here, there should be a good deal of fine/dry weather during early March with a chance of night frosts and morning fog patches.” the agency stated in its long-range outlook.
This pattern aligns with historical trends, where early spring can occasionally bring above-average warmth due to persistent high-pressure systems.
While England and Wales are set to benefit from milder conditions, Scotland and Northern Ireland may not experience the same warmth. Forecasts suggest that double-digit temperatures are unlikely in these areas, with some parts struggling to exceed freezing in the mornings.
A Sharp Contrast From Recent Freezing Temperatures
This warm spell follows a period of notably cold weather across the UK. On February 28, temperatures dropped to -5°C in Aboyne, Aberdeenshire, while Santon Downham in Suffolk recorded a low of -2.4°C. Parts of the Midlands and Wales also saw temperatures hover around freezing.
Despite the upcoming rise in temperatures, overnight conditions could still be chilly, particularly in northern and rural areas. According to meteorologists, while daytime highs may feel spring-like, early morning frost and mist remain possible in certain regions.