American Airlines Stocks Soar 10% on Strong Demand, Bright 2024 Profit Outlook

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By Lydia Amazouz Published on January 26, 2024 20:47
American Airlines Aircraft Parked in Airport Apron

American Airlines exceeded expectations in the final quarter of 2023, posting a profit of $19 million, surpassing estimates on both revenue and net earnings. This strong financial performance signals a positive outlook for the airline in a challenging economic landscape.

American Airlines Outperformed Wall Street Estimates in Q4 2023

American Airlines outperformed Wall Street expectations for the fourth quarter of 2023, reporting adjusted earnings per share of 29 cents, well above the expected 10 cents. Revenue also exceeded estimates, reaching $13.06 billion, compared to the anticipated $13.02 billion. Despite a significant year-over-year decline in net income to $19 million from $803 million, adjustments for one-time items, including a new labor agreement, showcase the airline's resilient performance. This outcome contrasts with the airline's earlier estimate of breaking even for the December period in its third-quarter earnings report.

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American Airlines CEO Robert Isom expressed satisfaction with the company's strong year-end results, emphasizing the focus on reliability, profitability and strengthening the balance sheet. Isom anticipates a bustling first and second quarter, emphasizing that now is an opportune time for travel.

American Airlines Anticipates Strong Earnings and Employee Profit-Sharing for 2024

Regarding the outlook for the first quarter of 2024, American Airlines projects an adjusted net loss per share ranging from 15 cents to 35 cents. Costs, excluding fuel, are expected to increase between 2% and 4%, while flying capacity is projected to rise by 6.5% to 8.5%.

The US-based airline anticipates adjusted earnings per share ranging from $2.25 to $3.25 for the full year 2024, with a mid-single-digit increase in flying capacity compared to 2023. In a letter to team members, CEO Robert Isom announced a profit-sharing payment for all U.S. and Canada-based employees in March, underscoring the robustness of the business.

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The earnings report coincides with a flurry of updates from the airline industry, with Southwest and Alaska also reporting fourth-quarter earnings on the same day. United Airlines, which posted better-than-expected results earlier this week, provided an optimistic outlook for 2024.

Despite challenging winter weather conditions, American Airlines achieved its best-ever on-time departures during the December holidays, showcasing operational resilience.

FAA's Boeing 737 Max Production Freeze Raises Delivery Concerns for American Airlines

Recent attention has been focused on the Boeing 737 Max 9 aircraft, grounded by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) following an incident on an Alaska Airlines flight. While American Airlines doesn't operate this model, it does have a widely used 737 Max, with plans for an additional 20 this year, as mentioned by CEO Robert Isom.

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However, late Wednesday, the FAA announced a suspension of Boeing's capacity to increase 737 Max production, raising concerns about potential impacts on future aircraft deliveries for American Airlines.

“Boeing needs to get their act together. The issues that they’ve been dealing with over the recent period of time, but also going back a number of years now, is unacceptable,” emphasized CEO Isom on an earnings call Thursday.

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