{"id":101199,"date":"2025-02-09T17:20:00","date_gmt":"2025-02-09T06:20:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/?p=101199"},"modified":"2025-02-09T17:16:56","modified_gmt":"2025-02-09T06:16:56","slug":"rba-rate-cut-could-hand-homeowners-a-154-monthly-boost-decision-looms","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/rba-rate-cut-could-hand-homeowners-a-154-monthly-boost-decision-looms\/","title":{"rendered":"RBA Rate Cut Could Hand Homeowners a $154 Monthly Boost\u2014Decision Looms"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The <strong>Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)<\/strong> is set to meet in mid-February, with economists predicting a possible cut to the <strong>official cash rate<\/strong>. If this happens, mortgage holders could see some relief after a period of high borrowing costs. While nothing is certain, analysts from the <strong>Big Four banks<\/strong> suggest a reduction could be imminent, offering potential financial relief to many households.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">RBA meeting details and decision timeline<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>RBA board<\/strong> will meet on <strong>Monday, February 17, and Tuesday, February 18<\/strong>, with a formal decision announced at <strong>2:30 pm on Tuesday<\/strong>. Following the announcement, <strong>RBA Governor Michele Bullock<\/strong> will hold a press conference to explain the rationale behind the decision\u2014whether to cut, increase, or maintain the current cash rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will the RBA cut interest rates in February?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Several leading economists believe that the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/rbas-next-move-will-february-be-the-month-of-rate-cuts\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"100154\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">RBA will announce a <strong>0.25% cut<\/strong><\/a>, which would bring the cash rate down from its current <strong>4.35% to 4.10%<\/strong>. The <strong>Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, NAB, and ANZ<\/strong> have all indicated they expect a reduction, with <strong>Westpac and NAB<\/strong> recently revising their forecasts to anticipate a cut in February rather than later in the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This shift in expectations follows <strong>inflation figures<\/strong> that were lower than anticipated. According to the <strong>Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)<\/strong>, headline inflation was <strong>0.2% for the December quarter<\/strong> and <strong>2.4% annually<\/strong>, marking a slowdown. <strong>Underlying inflation<\/strong>, a key measure used by the RBA, fell to <strong>0.5% for the quarter<\/strong> and <strong>3.2% annually<\/strong>, its lowest level in three years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <strong>RBA\u2019s target inflation range is between 2% and 3%<\/strong>, and while inflation is moving in the right direction, the board will also consider factors such as economic growth, the <strong>labour market<\/strong>, the <strong>housing market<\/strong>, and <strong>global economic conditions<\/strong> when deciding on the cash rate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How much could mortgage repayments decrease?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If the <strong>0.25% rate cut<\/strong> is passed on in full by banks, home loan repayments could decrease, helping borrowers manage their finances. Based on <strong>Canstar\u2019s<\/strong> calculations, the monthly savings would be:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>$600,000 loan<\/strong>: <strong>$92 per month<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$750,000 loan<\/strong>: <strong>$115 per month<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$1,000,000 loan<\/strong>: <strong>$154 per month<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>These figures assume an <strong>owner-occupier<\/strong> paying principal and interest on an <strong>average variable rate of 6.33%<\/strong> with <strong>25 years remaining<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, while banks typically follow cash rate changes, they are not required to do so. <strong>Canstar\u2019s analysis<\/strong> of the past <strong>10 RBA rate cuts over the last decade<\/strong> found that <strong>only four were fully passed on<\/strong> by <strong>CBA, NAB, and ANZ<\/strong>, while <strong>Westpac passed on just two<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to <strong>Mozo personal finance expert Rachel Wastell<\/strong>, banks may be under pressure to pass on any cuts in full, given recent public scrutiny over the <strong>cost-of-living crisis<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How many rate cuts could be expected this year?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While most major banks agree on a <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/nab-joins-big-banks-in-bold-rba-rate-cut-prediction\/\" target=\"_blank\" data-type=\"post\" data-id=\"100859\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">February rate cut<\/a><\/strong>, they differ on how many reductions will occur throughout 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Forecasts from the <strong>Big Four banks<\/strong> indicate:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Commonwealth Bank<\/strong>: <strong>4 cuts<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Westpac<\/strong>: <strong>4 cuts<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>NAB<\/strong>: <strong>5 cuts<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>ANZ<\/strong>: <strong>2 cuts<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>More rate cuts would mean further savings for mortgage holders. If there are <strong>four cuts<\/strong>, Canstar estimates monthly repayments could decrease by:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>$600,000 loan<\/strong>: <strong>$359 per month<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$750,000 loan<\/strong>: <strong>$449 per month<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>$1,000,000 loan<\/strong>: <strong>$599 per month<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">When is the next opportunity for a rate cut?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>If the <strong>RBA does not cut rates in February<\/strong>, the next opportunity will come in <strong>April<\/strong>. The <strong>RBA board<\/strong> meets <strong>eight times this year<\/strong>, with the remaining dates as follows:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>March 31 \u2013 April 1<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>May 19 \u2013 20<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>July 7 \u2013 8<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>August 11 \u2013 12<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>September 29 \u2013 30<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>November 3 \u2013 4<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>December 8 \u2013 9<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The February meeting will be closely watched, as any rate cut could signal the beginning of a broader <strong>easing cycle<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Aussie mortgage holders could soon see a shift in interest rates. Economists from major banks are signaling a change, with new inflation data reshaping forecasts. The RBA&#8217;s upcoming decision may bring unexpected relief. Here\u2019s what it could mean for home loans.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":100695,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[15],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-101199","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-housing","generate-columns","tablet-grid-50","mobile-grid-100","grid-parent","grid-33","no-featured-image-padding"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101199","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=101199"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101199\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":101205,"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/101199\/revisions\/101205"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/100695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=101199"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=101199"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/en.econostrum.info\/au\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=101199"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}