Cyclone season is officially upon us, and experts are warning that it could be more intense than usual. With warmer ocean temperatures and a greater likelihood of more powerful storms, millions of Australians may face a season more dangerous than they expect. Here’s what’s happening and why you should pay attention.
A Hotter Ocean Equals a More Intense Cyclone Season
The official cyclone season in Australia runs from November 1 through to April 30, and experts are already raising alarms. This year, sea surface temperatures in the northern parts of the country are unusually warm. Tropical cyclones need ocean temperatures of at least 26.5°C to form, and currently, some areas are already above that threshold, with temperatures reaching 31°C. That’s not just a little bit higher than usual—these temperatures are up to three degrees above average, which is significant.
Ben Domensino, a weather expert from Weatherzone, explains to 9News that once the water temperature crosses this critical 26.5°C mark, cyclones can intensify much more quickly. This means that cyclones, which are already capable of wreaking havoc, could become even more destructive this year.
The Cyclone Threat: Who’s at Risk?
So why does all this matter? Cyclones form in tropical regions, particularly off the coasts of Queensland, the Northern Territory, and Western Australia, and these areas are likely to bear the brunt of the stormy weather. Communities living in these vulnerable regions face an increased risk of more severe storms, especially with temperatures this high. Cyclones have the potential to cause widespread damage—strong winds, heavy rainfall, and flooding are common side effects, and as we’ve seen in past years, the damage can be extensive and expensive.
Last season, Australia saw 12 cyclones—the most in 18 years—and it was a costly year for many. Cyclone Alfred, which struck Queensland and New South Wales earlier this year, became the fourth most expensive cyclone in Australian history, causing nearly $2 billion in damage. If this year’s season sees similar levels of destruction, the financial and personal toll on affected communities could be massive.
The Long-Term Outlook: What Could Happen?
Cyclone seasons like this aren’t just about immediate impacts. Experts are concerned that rising ocean temperatures could make cyclones more frequent and more severe over the long term, adding to the already growing strain caused by climate change. And while the warmer water conditions right now seem to suggest a higher-than-average risk, it’s important to note that weather is, as always, unpredictable. Some years may bring fewer storms, but others, like this one, could bring a lot more.
For those in cyclone-prone areas, it’s essential to stay prepared. With higher-than-usual ocean temperatures, authorities are encouraging residents to take steps to protect themselves, their homes, and their communities. It might not be possible to stop a cyclone, but the right preparations can make a world of difference when it comes to safety.
